A Statistical Look at 2006 Opposing Team Effeciency Schedule
Originally Posted by Yakuza Rich from a sports forum:
Last one, but here's a look at strength of schedule in regards to overall opposing team effeciencies.
OVERALL OPPOSING TEAMS TEAM EFFICIENCY - Dallas 13th hardest schedule
GREEN BAY -10.16%
CHICAGO -9.54%
MINNESOTA -9.29%
DETROIT-8.94%
SEATTLE -7.27%
ARIZONA -4.62%
NEW YORK JETS -4.26%
MIAMI -2.71%
NEW ENGLAND -2.43%
BUFFALO -2.21%
ST LOUIS -1.52%
PHILADELPHIA -0.08%
SAN FRANCISCO 0.19%
TAMPA BAY 0.52%
NEW ORLEANS 0.54%
WASHINGTON 0.79%
INDIANAPOLIS 0.99%
ATLANTA 1.31%
SAN DIEGO 2.74%
DALLAS 2.76%
JACKSONVILLE 2.91%
CAROLINA 3.11%
NEW YORK GIANTS 4.19%
HOUSTON 4.64%
TENNESSEE 5.11%
OAKLAND 5.17%
KANSAS CITY 5.81%
DENVER 6.06%
PITTSBURGH 6.44%
BALTIMORE 6.49%
CLEVELAND 6.56%
CINCINNATI 7.49%
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE BY DIVISIONS
NFC NORTH -37.91%
NFC WEST -13.21%
AFC EAST -11.61%
NFC SOUTH 5.49%
AFC SOUTH 7.66%
NFC EAST 13.66%
AFC WEST 19.78%
AFC NORTH 26.99%
BIGGEST DISCREPENCIES IN STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE PER DIVISIONAL RIVALS
Philly over NYG -4.26%
Green Bay over Detroit -1.23%
Tampa Bay over Carolina -2.59%
Seattle over San Franscisco -7.46%
NY Jets over Buffalo -2.04%
Pittsburgh over Cincinnati -1.05%
Indianapolis over Houston -3.66%
San Diego over Denver -3.33%
FINAL NOTES
1. Philly's strength of schedule has to be disconcerting. As you will see, the teams that had the best records last year wind up typically having the easier schedules. Why? Because a team like Seattle doesn't have to face itself twice a year. Instead, they get to face San Francisco. Thus, San Francisco actually has a tougher schedule than Seattle. Now that's all fine and dandy since it just shows that there's a huge discrepency in talent in the NFC West. However, there's a lot of parity in the NFC East. Philly gets to face San Francisco and the Packers who were both much worse than what Dallas faces (Arizona and Detroit) and especially what the Giants face (Seattle and Chicago.
2. In the end, this all may mean nothing. Like I pointed out, strenght of schedules can drastically change from August to September. The good thing is I think they made some good logical moves in the offseason.
Owens could be a huge addition that opens up things for the offense who is facing some very difficult run defenses and teams that play the TE's very well. They struggled heavily running the ball to the left last season and they are playing some great defenses when it comes to running the ball to that side. According to KC Joyner, Kyle Kosier had a 90% blocking success rate (80% is considered good) while Larry Allen had an 82% blocking success rate last season. I know for one that every time we tried to get Allen out in space we weren't very successful and it was quite annoying to see Allen not block the backside container when we ran to the right.
We struggled against defending runs up the middle and runs to the strongside. So we added Akin Ayodele at ILB....a run stuffing specialist and cut Glover to make Ferguson the starter. According to Joyner, Ferguson was so-so against the run (allowing 4.3 yards per attempt in his direction), but he was worlds better than Glover (allowed 5.3 yards per attempt). Also, adding Bobby Carpenter....a true strongside backer who can cover, play the run, and sack the passer could be a great addition. Not only because it stops the run, but we are facing some real good pass protecting O-Lines. Last year teams would just motion a tight end over to Ware's side to help take him out and force Dallas to punish them with Al Singleton and Scott Fujita. They were doing fine until Singleton got hurt. But once he got hurt, Fujita was a complete non-factor rushing the passer.
Then there's the addition of Mike Vanderjagt. It's obvious we needed a major upgrade in field goal kicking and we got it. Vanderjagt is a terrible kickoff guy. But with Kevin Burnett, Scott Shanle, and now Rocky Boiman coming back, the kickoff coverage should be good enough to negate Vandy's poor kickoffs. And if they can find somebody to replace Keith Davis at safety and get him back to special teams play on a full-time basis, the kickoff coverage unit should only get much stronger.
Last one, but here's a look at strength of schedule in regards to overall opposing team effeciencies.
OVERALL OPPOSING TEAMS TEAM EFFICIENCY - Dallas 13th hardest schedule
GREEN BAY -10.16%
CHICAGO -9.54%
MINNESOTA -9.29%
DETROIT-8.94%
SEATTLE -7.27%
ARIZONA -4.62%
NEW YORK JETS -4.26%
MIAMI -2.71%
NEW ENGLAND -2.43%
BUFFALO -2.21%
ST LOUIS -1.52%
PHILADELPHIA -0.08%
SAN FRANCISCO 0.19%
TAMPA BAY 0.52%
NEW ORLEANS 0.54%
WASHINGTON 0.79%
INDIANAPOLIS 0.99%
ATLANTA 1.31%
SAN DIEGO 2.74%
DALLAS 2.76%
JACKSONVILLE 2.91%
CAROLINA 3.11%
NEW YORK GIANTS 4.19%
HOUSTON 4.64%
TENNESSEE 5.11%
OAKLAND 5.17%
KANSAS CITY 5.81%
DENVER 6.06%
PITTSBURGH 6.44%
BALTIMORE 6.49%
CLEVELAND 6.56%
CINCINNATI 7.49%
STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE BY DIVISIONS
NFC NORTH -37.91%
NFC WEST -13.21%
AFC EAST -11.61%
NFC SOUTH 5.49%
AFC SOUTH 7.66%
NFC EAST 13.66%
AFC WEST 19.78%
AFC NORTH 26.99%
BIGGEST DISCREPENCIES IN STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE PER DIVISIONAL RIVALS
Philly over NYG -4.26%
Green Bay over Detroit -1.23%
Tampa Bay over Carolina -2.59%
Seattle over San Franscisco -7.46%
NY Jets over Buffalo -2.04%
Pittsburgh over Cincinnati -1.05%
Indianapolis over Houston -3.66%
San Diego over Denver -3.33%
FINAL NOTES
1. Philly's strength of schedule has to be disconcerting. As you will see, the teams that had the best records last year wind up typically having the easier schedules. Why? Because a team like Seattle doesn't have to face itself twice a year. Instead, they get to face San Francisco. Thus, San Francisco actually has a tougher schedule than Seattle. Now that's all fine and dandy since it just shows that there's a huge discrepency in talent in the NFC West. However, there's a lot of parity in the NFC East. Philly gets to face San Francisco and the Packers who were both much worse than what Dallas faces (Arizona and Detroit) and especially what the Giants face (Seattle and Chicago.
2. In the end, this all may mean nothing. Like I pointed out, strenght of schedules can drastically change from August to September. The good thing is I think they made some good logical moves in the offseason.
Owens could be a huge addition that opens up things for the offense who is facing some very difficult run defenses and teams that play the TE's very well. They struggled heavily running the ball to the left last season and they are playing some great defenses when it comes to running the ball to that side. According to KC Joyner, Kyle Kosier had a 90% blocking success rate (80% is considered good) while Larry Allen had an 82% blocking success rate last season. I know for one that every time we tried to get Allen out in space we weren't very successful and it was quite annoying to see Allen not block the backside container when we ran to the right.
We struggled against defending runs up the middle and runs to the strongside. So we added Akin Ayodele at ILB....a run stuffing specialist and cut Glover to make Ferguson the starter. According to Joyner, Ferguson was so-so against the run (allowing 4.3 yards per attempt in his direction), but he was worlds better than Glover (allowed 5.3 yards per attempt). Also, adding Bobby Carpenter....a true strongside backer who can cover, play the run, and sack the passer could be a great addition. Not only because it stops the run, but we are facing some real good pass protecting O-Lines. Last year teams would just motion a tight end over to Ware's side to help take him out and force Dallas to punish them with Al Singleton and Scott Fujita. They were doing fine until Singleton got hurt. But once he got hurt, Fujita was a complete non-factor rushing the passer.
Then there's the addition of Mike Vanderjagt. It's obvious we needed a major upgrade in field goal kicking and we got it. Vanderjagt is a terrible kickoff guy. But with Kevin Burnett, Scott Shanle, and now Rocky Boiman coming back, the kickoff coverage should be good enough to negate Vandy's poor kickoffs. And if they can find somebody to replace Keith Davis at safety and get him back to special teams play on a full-time basis, the kickoff coverage unit should only get much stronger.
posted by The Gryphon at 7:03 PM
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