Monday, December 01, 2008

NFC Wild Card Season Remaining Games

Originally Posted by TwoDeep3 from a sports forum:

As it stands...

Washington (7-5) now has a tough schedule.

@ Baltimore
@ Cinncinati
Philadelphia
@ San Francisco

I believe Baltimore will handle them as well as perhaps Philadelphia. That would leave them 9-7. That knocks them out of the box, I think.

Atlanta (8-4) doesn't have it much better. They currently are ahead of us in the wild card race.

@ New Orleans
Tampa Bay
@Minnesota
St. Louis

They have a potential 3 losses on this schedule. They beat New Orleans the first time at home 34-20. But New Orleans will also be playing for their play-off life with the game being more critical.

Tampa Bay beat Atlanta 24-9. Atlanta should split and end up 10-6.

Carolina (9-3) is a game ahead of us, but they don't have an easy schedule either.

Tampa Bay
Denver
@New York Giants
@New Orleans

They have wiggle room here so they can go 2-2 and still be ahead of us. They lost at Tampa Bay 27-3 earlier in the year. And the loser is suddenly a wild card. So I expect Tampa Bay to bring their A game.

New York will be a loss. I believe the Giants will be making a statement with this game.

Depending on how close New Orleans is depends on the game they bring. I think they end up 11-5.

That leaves us.

Dallas

@Pittsburgh
New York Giants
Baltimore
@Philadelphia

I watched Pittsburgh today and believe if Cassel hadn't turned the ball over so much New England had a shot. But if Randy Moss catches the ball, as well as the rest of the Patriots, that might have been a vastly different game. I think we win a close one.

Out lives are on the line against the Giants. They come here in the last NFC East game in Texas Stadium. We will be healthy and motivated. This one is tough to call.

Baltimore isn't as big a wory for me. This IS the last game in Texas stadium. This team will be breathing fire.

Philadelphia will not have a shot at the play-offs by then. That concerns me more than the Giants.

For us to put as much pressure on the other teams in the hunt, we have to win three. Which logically means split with Pittsburgh and New York and win out.

That forces us to win two on the road in bad weather regions. The logical thing would be to beat Pittsburgh and the Giants and then win at home agtainst baltimore. Then the Eagles game doesn't matter.

Unless Atlanta caves and loses the three they have the potential of winning, we cannot get in at 10-6.

11-5 or nothing it appears.