Tuesday, September 04, 2007

Early Predictions for Season Opener

from knowyourdallascowboys.com

In almost exactly one week, Dallas will be playing the New York Giants in the season opener at Texas Stadium. The predictions have already begun, and the majority appear to be siding with the Cowboys. Here are a couple of sources to get us started.

Accuscore

Accuscore predicts that the Cowboys are most likely to have a 10-win season, and according to the graphic that I have posted below, the site gives the Cowboys a 65% chance of winning next Sunday. I won’t pretend to have any idea how this site came up with that percentage, but I will track this site during the year to see.
Pigskin Pick’em

I have played Pigskin Pick’em for several years now (not very well) and will continue to do so this year. Dallas is favored by 3 1/2 in this game, and the majority of players have picked the Cowboys to win. Here are the results thus far:

No Spread

Dallas: 82.6%, New York Giants: 17.4%

This is a little bit surprising, but many of these votes may have come before Michael Strahan announced that he would rejoin the team. Still, it is encouraging that so many think that the Cowboys will win their opener.

Spread

Dallas: 73%, New York Giants: 27%

The last time that the Cowboys defeated the Giants by more than three points was on December 21, 2003, in a 19-3 victory at home. Since the start of the 2003 season, Dallas has gone 4-4 against the Giants, and three of those wins were by three points. Thus, the 3 1/2 points worry me about. (That said, I never go against the Cowboys, for that would be very bad luck…).

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Roster Updates

After one day, we already have roster updates. The Cowboys cut safety Abram Elam and cornerback Alan Ball. In their place, Dallas signed outside linebacker Justin Rogers (released by New England) and cornerback Evan Oglesby (released by Baltimore).

Three players that the Cowboys released have signed with other teams, including defensive lineman Remi Ayodele (Atlanta), quarterterback Matt Moore (Carolina), and receiver Jerheme Urban (Arizona).